The consultation between the Federal Republic of Somalia (FRS) and the Federal Member States (FMS) began…
The consultation between the Federal Republic of Somalia (FRS) and the Federal Member States (FMS) began against a backdrop of mistrust, particularly between the FRS and the administrations of Puntland and Jubbaland. This distrust became evident from the outset of the conference.
It had been previously agreed that the bodyguards accompanying the presidents of Puntland and Jubbaland, Axmed Islam and Saciid Deni, would arrive in Mogadishu ahead of the leaders themselves. However, despite these prior arrangements, the flights carrying their security personnel were denied clearance while already in Mogadishu’s airspace, forcing both planes to return to their respective states.
Following strong intervention and expressions of concern from the international community, especially the AU, EU, Arab League, and neighbouring countries, the FRS reversed its position, and the president issued what was widely viewed as an incomplete or insufficient apology. This incident not only caused significant embarrassment for the federal government in Mogadishu but also reinforced existing concerns and suspicions within Puntland and Jubbaland, where tensions with the FRS have already been high.
A central point of contention is the president’s intention to abandon the upcoming June electoral process, despite the last election occurring in 2022. The federal parliament has introduced several controversial and, according to critics, unconstitutional amendments to the Federal Constitution. The president has expressed a strong determination to push ahead with what he describes as a nationwide “one person, one vote” (OPOV) election. If a full OPOV election is not feasible, he has proposed conducting OPOV in areas where conditions allow, effectively limiting participation to few selected regions.
Puntland and Jubbaland have firmly rejected this approach. Both states insist that the constitutional changes be withdrawn entirely, arguing that amendments made without their consultation are invalid. Presidents Axmed Islam and Saciid Deni are firmly opposed to any delay or manipulation of the election process, drawing parallels with political tensions experienced during previous electoral cycles.
This political deadlock is deepening the country’s internal crisis at a critical moment. Meanwhile, the international community’s position appears ambiguous and, at times, inadequately responsive to the potential consequences and instability that may follow.
Although the support of the international community is essential for Somalia’s peace and state building process, it is pertinent that Somalia’s leaders and institutions must find a way to rebuild trust and reaffirm their shared commitment to the country’s stability. While recent events have exposed weaknesses in communication and cooperation, they have also highlighted the urgent need for dialogue rooted in respect and transparency. No single actor can resolve these challenges alone; progress depends on all sides choosing consultation over confrontation and recognising the legitimate concerns each holds. A renewed commitment to working together could turn this moment of tension into an opportunity for healing and clarity.
Ultimately, Somalia’s future hinges on leaders prioritising unity over division and long‑term national interests over short‑term political advantage. The people of Somalia deserve a political process that is fair, inclusive, and grounded in the rule of law. By fostering open dialogue, restoring confidence in federal‑member state relations, and welcoming constructive support from international partners, Somalia can navigate this difficult period. With patience and genuine cooperation, the country can move closer to the peaceful and democratic future its citizens hope for.
Mr A M Yusuf is a contributing opinion writer whose views are informed by expertise, research, debate and certain longstanding values in Somali affairs. He can be reached on sharmarke.samatar1960@gmail.com
